Wind and solar generation will outnumber coal generation by about 90 billion kilowatt-hours in 2024, according to this month’s Short-Term Energy Outlook.

“Renewables, particularly solar photovoltaics, are growing rapidly and making large contributions to electricity generation,” said EIA Administrator Joe DeCarolis.

According to the analysis, solar generation is expected to rise by 39% in 2024.

“The downward revision reflects both a warmer-than-average start to the winter, which has reduced demand for space heating in the residential and commercial sectors, and high natural gas production,” the report said.